The leader of South Africa's ruling party, Jacob Zuma, is in
the United States this week. He is expected to visit with Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice and other US officials.
Zuma
arrives at a time when the ANC faces a revolt, as some members form a breakaway
party. The visit also follows a recent move by Zuma supporters to force Thabo
Mbeki to step down as the country's president, just a few months before the end
of his term.
Among
those following developments is South African journalist Mark Gevisser, author
of a soon-to-be-published book, A Legacy of Liberation: Thabo Mbeki and the
Future of the South African Dream. From Johannesburg, he spoke to VOA
English to Africa Service Joe De Capua about why Jacob Zuma is visiting the
United States.
"My understanding is that this visit was planned
a good few months ago and is part of Jacob Zuma's campaign to 'reassure
markets' that there's not going to be a significant policy change, particularly
around economic policy, once Zuma becomes president. And the question to why
the United States would meet Jacob Zuma is because even though there is a lot
of contention on the ground in South Africa, Jacob Zuma is the democratically
elected president of the ANC and in that position he will almost without doubt
be the next president of South Africa. And given South Africa's strategic role
on the continent, there is a special relationship with the United States," he
says.
Nevertheless,
Zuma may still face a corruption trial stemming from a large South African arms
deal. Currently, the trial is on hold due to a legal technicality and it's
unclear whether prosecutors will re-file charges against him.
"There's
nothing in the South African constitution which prevents somebody who is
standing trial from being the head of state. So, for as long as Jacob Zuma is
not found guilty, he may be head of state. And the ANC has made it clear, for
better or for worse, that even if he is re-charged, until such time as he is
found guilty, he is going to be presumed innocent and he will be able to be the
president of the country," he says.
Gevisser
says that the ANC is no longer the "fabled party of Nelson Mandela." He
explains, "The South African liberation movement carried, I think, the dreams
and aspirations, not only of all South Africans and all Africans, but during
the years of the anti-apartheid struggle of many people all over the world. It
was the great moral cause of the late 20th Century. And Nelson Mandela
was considered a saint, an icon, a hero, who could do no wrong. And I think
what's happened in South African politics is a kind of normalization, a
realization that this isn't some kind of fabled rainbow nation. That South
Africa's not the world's greatest fairy tale, but is just another difficult,
struggling developing nation with leaders who are not saints or demagogues, but
are flawed and self-interested human beings."
Under
Zuma's leadership of the ANC, supporters of Thabo Mbeki and others recently
broke away to begin forming a new political party. Asked whether that's good or
bad for South Africa, Gevisser says, "I think it's a mixed blessing. It's good
because I think the graveyard of African democracies have been these de facto
one-party states. And up to this point, there has not been a significant and
viable black-led opposition to the ANC. Now for the first time, because of this
breakaway faction, there will be a significant and viable opposition to the
ANC. I think what we need to be careful of, though, is that there's no
indication yet that the people leading this party are doing so because they
have any kind of policy differences from the ANC. It seems far more to be about
factionalism and a group of people who've been dumped and therefore want to
find their way back into the system. And that can lead to a kind of faction
fighting on the ground, which might be quite destabilizing."
He
says when Thabo Mbeki was first-elected president, he visited George W. Bush,
who was then the governor of the state of Texas. The visit resulted in Mbeki
later becoming the Bush administration's "point man" in Africa. Gevisser sees
no such role for Jacob Zuma. "Whatever criticisms there were of Thabo Mbeki, he
was a life-long diplomat who spent most of his life sort of forging
connections, particularly with the leadership of the G8 countries, and perhaps
dedicated too much time to keeping those relationships going, often, it was
said critically, at the expense of domestic relations. Jacob Zuma is going to
be much more focused domestically," he says.
Nevertheless, he says it's important
for Zuma to assure US officials that South African can remain a "dependable
ally."