News / USA

Republicans Expect Major US Election Gains in November

US Capitol
US Capitol

Multimedia

U.S. voters head to the polls in less than six weeks to elect a new Congress and the results might have a major impact on President Barack Obama's ability to govern during the next two years.  All 435 seats in the House of Representatives are at stake, along with 37 Senate seats and 37 state governorships.

Analysts say there appear to be two major factors at play that will have a profound impact on this year's midterm elections.  First, the public has a negative view of the national economy, and that could hurt President Obama and his fellow Democrats in Congress.  Second, conservative energy is on the rise.  That will help Republican candidates, thanks largely to the grassroots Tea Party movement.

Julia Mcloud is a Tea Party supporter who attended a rally recently here in Washington.  "We are concerned with what Congress is doing, what Obama is doing.  We want less government.  We don't want to be taxed so much."

Economy fuels concern

Driving much of that conservative anger is frustration with the national economy, especially the weak job market, said Quinnipiac University pollster Peter Brown.

"The economy is issues number one through 129," said Brown.  "And by the economy, most people mean unemployment.  And until the unemployment rate gets markedly better, it is unlikely that voters will be any more optimistic about the economy, and therefore that will probably not be good for President Obama."

Republicans also expect to gain congressional seats because of concern over a growing federal budget deficit and the size of government, said expert John Fortier of the American Enterprise Institute.

"I think the driving issue is that the opposition, Republicans and Tea Party people, don't like the direction the country's going in.  They think the economy is bad and they think that government is getting too big," said Fortier.

Conservative edge vs. presidential pull

Among those leading the conservative charge is former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin.  Palin is a favorite of Tea Party supporters and a possible presidential candidate two years from now.  She spoke recently to Republicans in Iowa, the state that begins the presidential election cycle every four years with its party caucus voting.

"We can't wait until 2012 to get our country back on the right track," said Palin.  "We need to start now by electing strong leaders who are not afraid to shake it up."

President Obama's public approval ratings have dropped steadily in recent months, but analysts said he remains the Democrats' best hope of keeping majorities in the House and Senate as he campaigns around the country.

"It is still fear versus hope, the past versus the future," said Obama.  "It is still a choice between sliding backward and moving forward.  That is what this election is about.  That is the choice you will face in November."

Political analysts predict GOP gains

Political experts agree that Republicans will make gains in November.  Pollster Peter Brown said the only question is, how many congressional seats will they win?

"Historically, the party that holds the White House loses seats in the off-year elections, and it would be a shock if the Democrats did not lose seats this year," said Brown.  "The question is how many are they going to lose?  There are a lot of people who think this will be a very, very good Republican year."

And the results might have a huge impact on President Obama's governing style and his ability to get things done, said analyst John Fortier.

"I think whatever the outcome - whether Republicans take the House or whether they fall a little bit short - it will look very different for the next two years," said Fortier.  "It will be a time of either small accomplishments or of great conflict between the parties.  There will be no time to work on other things on the big Obama legislative agenda."

Republicans need a gain of 39 seats to retake control of the House of Representatives, and a win of 10 seats to regain a majority in the Senate.

You May Like

Lion Cecil's Killing Sparks 'Canned Hunting' Debate in S. Africa

Conservationists believe incident, which triggered worldwide outrage, will reshape debate about practice in which hunters are allowed to target animals bred for hunting More

Taliban's New Leader Says Jihad Will Continue

Top US Afghan diplomat also meets with Pakistani, Afghan officials following news of Mullah Omar's death More

Environmentalists Issue Warning on Mekong Biodiversity

Scientists say decades of economic development, hydropower-dam construction, lax law enforcement and trafficking have taken their toll More

This forum has been closed.
Comments
     
There are no comments in this forum. Be first and add one

Featured Videos

Your JavaScript is turned off or you have an old version of Adobe's Flash Player. Get the latest Flash player.
Astronauts Train Underwater for Deep Space Missionsi
|| 0:00:00
...    
🔇
X
George Putic
July 30, 2015 8:59 PM
Manned deep space missions are still a long way off, but space agencies are already testing procedures, equipment and human stamina for operations in extreme environment conditions. Small groups of astronauts take turns in spending days in an underwater lab, off Florida’s southern coast, simulating future missions to some remote world. VOA’s George Putic reports.
Video

Video Astronauts Train Underwater for Deep Space Missions

Manned deep space missions are still a long way off, but space agencies are already testing procedures, equipment and human stamina for operations in extreme environment conditions. Small groups of astronauts take turns in spending days in an underwater lab, off Florida’s southern coast, simulating future missions to some remote world. VOA’s George Putic reports.
Video

Video Civil Rights Leaders Struggled to Achieve Voting Rights Act

Fifty years ago, lawmakers approved, and U.S. President Lyndon Johnson signed, the Voting Rights Act of 1965. The measure outlawed racial discrimination in voting, giving millions of blacks in many parts of the southern United States federal enforcement of the right to vote. Correspondent Chris Simkins introduces us to some civil rights leaders who were on the front lines in the struggle for voting rights.
Video

Video Booming London Property a ‘Haven for Dirty Money’

Billions of dollars of so-called ‘dirty money’ from the proceeds of crime - especially from Russia - are being laundered through the London property market, according to anti-corruption activists. As Henry Ridgwell reports from the British capital, the government has pledged to crack down on the practice.
Video

Video Hometown of Boy Scouts of America Founder Reacts to Gay Leader Decision

Ottawa, Illinois, is the hometown of W.D. Boyce, who founded the Boy Scouts of America in 1910. In Ottawa, where Scouting remains an important part of the legacy of the community, the end of the organization's ban on openly gay adult leaders was seen as inevitable. VOA's Kane Farabaugh reports.
Video

Video 'Metal Muscles' Flex a New Bionic Hand

Artificial limbs, including the most complex of them – the human hand – are getting more life-like and useful due to constant advances in tiny hydraulic, pneumatic and electric motors called actuators. But now, as VOA’s George Putic reports, scientists in Germany say the future of the prosthetic hand may lie not in motors but in wires that can ‘remember’ their shape.
Video

Video Russia Accused of Abusing Interpol to Pursue Opponents

A British pro-democracy group has accused Russia of abusing the global law enforcement agency Interpol by requesting the arrest and extradition of political opponents. A new report by the group notes such requests can mean the accused are unable to travel and are often unable to open bank accounts. VOA's Henry Ridgwell reports.
Video

Video 'Positive Atmosphere' Points Toward TPP Trade Deal in Hawaii

Talks on a major new trade agreement among 12 Pacific Rim nations are said to be nearing completion in Hawaii. Some trade experts say the "positive atmosphere" at the discussions could mean a deal is within reach, but there is still hard bargaining to be done over many issues and products, including U.S. drugs and Japanese rice. VOA's Jim Randle reports.
Video

Video Genome Initiative Urgently Moves to Freeze DNA Before Species Go Extinct

Earth is in the midst of its sixth mass extinction. The last such event was caused by an asteroid 66 million years ago. It killed off the dinosaurs and practically everything else. So scientists are in a race against time to classify the estimated 11 million species alive today. So far only 2 million are described by science, and researchers are worried many will disappear before they even have a name. VOA’s Rosanne Skirble reports.
Video

Video Scientists: One-Dose Malaria Cure is Possible

Scientists have long been trying to develop an effective protection and cure for malaria - one of the deadliest diseases that affects people in tropical areas, especially children. As the World Health Organization announces plans to begin clinical trials of a promising new vaccine, scientists in South Africa report that they too are at an important threshold. George Putic reports, they are testing a compound that could be a single-dose cure for malaria.
Video

Video 'New York' Magazine Features 35 Cosby Accusers

The latest issue of 'New York' magazine features 35 women who say they were drugged and raped by film and television celebrity Bill Cosby. The women are aged from 44 to 80 and come from different walks of life and races. The magazine interviewed each of them separately, but Zlatica Hoke reports their stories are similar.
Video

Video US Calls Fight Against Human Trafficking a Must Win

The United States is promising not to give up its fight against what Secretary of State John Kerry calls the “scourge” of modern slavery. Officials released the country’s annual human trafficking report Monday – a report that’s being met with some criticism. VOA’s National Security correspondent Jeff Seldin has more from the State Department.
Video

Video Washington DC Underground Streetcar Station to Become Arts Venue

Abandoned more than 50 years ago, the underground streetcar station in Washington D.C.’s historic DuPont Circle district is about to be reborn. The plan calls for turning the spacious underground platforms - once meant to be a transportation hub, - into a unique space for art exhibitions, presentations, concerts and even a film set. Roman Mamonov has more from beneath the streets of the U.S. capital. Joy Wagner narrates his report.
Video

Video Europe’s Twin Crises Collide in Greece as Migrant Numbers Soar

Greece has replaced Italy as the main gateway for migrants into Europe, with more than 100,000 arrivals in the first six months of 2015. Many want to move further into Europe and escape Greece’s economic crisis, but they face widespread dangers on the journey overland through the Balkans. VOA's Henry Ridgwell reports.
Video

Video Stink Intensifies as Lebanon’s Trash Crisis Continues

After the closure of a major rubbish dump a week ago, the streets of Beirut are filling up with trash. Having failed to draw up a plan B, politicians are struggling to deal with the problem. John Owens has more for VOA from Beirut.
Video

Video Paris Rolls Out Blueprint to Fight Climate Change

A U.N. climate conference in December aims to produce an ambitious agreement to fight heat-trapping greenhouse gases. But many local governments are not waiting, and have drafted their own climate action plans. That’s the case with Paris — which is getting special attention, since it’s hosting the climate summit. Lisa Bryant takes a look for VOA at the transformation of the French capital into an eco-city.

VOA Blogs