The flow of Iraqi refugees returning home has slowed down, with the United Nations reporting that larger numbers are leaving Iraq. Some analysts say conditions in Iraq remain difficult, despite declining levels of violence. Others say Iraq has nearly two-and-one-half million internally displaced persons and cannot provide for more at this time.
The Iraqi Red Crescent reports a drop in the number of registered displaced persons entering the country from more than a 100-thousand in October to less than three-thousand in December. Previous estimates put the number of Iraqis returning home since September at 45-thousand. Most analysts say these numbers vary and cannot be verified because many returnees do not register with aid agencies.
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| Iraqi Refugees in Jordan |
Recent figures from the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights estimate that less than 700 Iraqis returned home from Syria every day in late January. A daily average of 12-hundred Iraqis left the country during the same period. Baghdad says the number of Iraqis leaving the country cannot be higher than the number of returnees, because Syria has tightened visa restrictions.
Syria, according to the United Nations, is hosting around one-and-a-half-million Iraqi refugees out of more than four-million displaced people around the world.
Old Neighborhoods, New Problems
Kathleen Newland of the Washington-based, non-profit Migration Policy Institute says many Iraqis are reluctant to return, despite the improved security atmosphere in Iraq.
"The word gets back from people who have returned that the conditions are very difficult. Some of the refugees will be able to go back to their own houses or to neighborhoods that are occupied by people of their own religious conviction," says Newland. "But about 70 percent of them have not been able to get back into their own houses because they have found them occupied by other people, and it is going to take a very long time to sort that out. So Iraq is just not ready for large-scale returns."