VOANews.com

 

Today from VOA:

News in 45 Languages
Oil Price Decline Undercuts Policies of Oil-Rich Nations


27 November 2008

The plummeting price of oil is having an impact on nations that restrict oil exploration and production to state-owned companies.  Analysts say many use the revenues to further their ideological objectives and expand their influence, and falling prices could affect such policies.  VOA's Bill Rodgers reports.

[insert caption here]
The price of oil is down dramatically, from $147 a barrel to less than $55
The price of oil is down dramatically, from a record high of $147 a barrel earlier this year to less than $55 in recent days.

And analysts say this is having an impact on petroleum-producing countries that have used oil revenues to further their ideological ambitions. 

Russia's new military resurgence is considered to be fueled by petrodollars. Iran has used its oil revenues to extend its influence in the Middle East and defy sanctions aimed at blocking its nuclear ambitions.  And, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has gained power and influence to counter U.S. policy in the Western Hemisphere because of the steady flow of oil money. 

But falling oil prices could weaken a government's hold on power, says energy analyst Kenneth Medlock at Rice University in Houston.

"It makes it very difficult for the government to remain solvent, basically," Medlock said, "and continue the types of programs that they've had in place when oil prices were higher, or initiated when oil prices rose. And that, of course, for the politicians who are in power, puts them in a very tenuous position."

[insert caption here]
In Iran, concern is rising that the country could face an economic crisis
In Iran, concern is rising that the country could face an economic crisis because of declining oil revenues. 

This comes as President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad seeks re-election next year.

In Venezuela, spending on social programs and other initiatives to build President Chavez' socialist-inspired state could be affected - though he recently downplayed the effects of falling oil prices.

"We're not singing victory, no," Chavez said. "But we have the capacity to resist the crisis.  And not just resist it, but to continue investing."

Yet Venezuela's opposition scored significant victories in local elections Sunday, in part because of fears the country's oil-fueled economy is sputtering.

Venezuela's oil, like that of many countries, is tapped exclusively by its state-run company, PDVSA.

Many of these nations have shut out major Western oil companies from accessing their petroleum-rich regions in a policy known as "resource nationalism." 

The so-called petroleum "majors" like ExxonMobile now control much less oil, says Conoco-Philips head James Mulva.  

"The state-owned oil companies represent the top 10 reserve holders internationally, and the western international oil majors control less than 10 percent of the world's oil and gas resource base," Mulva said.

[insert caption here]
Many nations have shut out major Western oil companies from accessing their petroleum-rich regions in a policy known as "resource nationalism"
One reason for this is the belief by some countries that nationally-owned companies can better protect a nation's oil wealth.  But energy analyst Jerry Taylor of the libertarian CATO Institute says there is another reason.

"When you have large private corporations generating revenue you are creating potential pockets of resistance in society to the political regime," Taylor said. "And since a lot of these countries find that oil extraction is the major source of income for their economies, owning those industries actually helps crowd out the potential development of opposition."

Taylor says while Saudi Arabia's ARAMCO is an example of an efficient and productive state-owned oil company, many others are like Mexico's PEMEX - inefficient and unproductive. 

According to Medlock, "they've demonstrated in many cases an inability to develop those resources in a timely, efficient manner.  And the international majors have the ability to do that.  They have adequate commercial incentive to go in and make these things work."

And the prospect of pumping more oil and increasing revenues could be attractive to governments, opening opportunities for the western oil majors while eroding resource nationalism.


Watch This Report Oil Nationalism
Download  (WM)
Watch This Report Oil Nationalism
Watch  (WM)
E-mail This Article E-mail This Article
Print This Article Print Version
  Top Story
Republicans Gain in US State Elections

  More Stories
US House Overwhelmingly Passes Resolution Critical of UN Report on Gaza  Audio Clip Available
Afghanistan's Karzai Intends to Create Unity Government
Obama, EU Push for Climate Deal  Audio Clip Available
President Obama Still to Decide Whether to Send More US Troops to Afghanistan  Video clip available
Clinton Says Washington Following Through on Obama Cairo Promises  Audio Clip Available
Debate Still Rages Over Who Won the Cold War  Audio Clip Available
Merkel Meets With Obama, Addresses Congress   Audio Clip Available
Germany's Merkel Presses US Lawmakers for Climate Change Action  Video clip available
UN Chief:  Climate Treaty in Copenhagen Unlikely
World War II 'Lost Battalion' Veterans Reunite  Audio Clip Available
Iran's Supreme Leader Throws Cold Water on Nuclear Negotiations  Audio Clip Available
Former Iran Hostages Recall US Embassy Takeover 30 Years Ago  Video clip available
Clinton to Ask Egypt for Help; Can Cairo Deliver?  Audio Clip Available
Palestinian Farmers in Olive Oil Boom  Video clip available
Afghan Electoral Outcome Presents Both Problems, Opportunity for US
Zimbabwe Diamond Trade Under Spotlight  Audio Clip Available
N. Korea Announces More Production of Nuclear Weapons Material  Audio Clip Available
War Crimes Suspect Karadzic Demands More Time to Prepare Defense
Czech Court Clears Way for President to Sign New EU Treaty  Audio Clip Available
Hungarians Have Mixed Feelings About Collapse of Communism  Audio Clip Available  Video clip available
Sri Lanka Objects to US Plan to Interview Army Chief  Audio Clip Available