News / Health

Global Cancer Rates Expected to Soar by 2030

Jessica Berman
The number of cancer cases is predicted to surge by 78 percent in middle income countries such as South Africa and India, and spike 93 percent in the developing world by the year 2030. Experts say an aggressive global strategy is needed.

According to the International Agency for Research on Cancer, or IARC, in Lyon, France, the incidence of all cancer cases will rise from 12.7 million new cases in 2008 to 22.2 million by 2030. The estimates are based on an analysis of social and economic trends in 184 countries compiled by the IARC.

The organization looked at the incidence of nine of the most commonly diagnosed cancers, including cancers of the cervix, liver, breast, prostate, lung and colon.  It concluded that reductions in cancers caused by infections in middle-income countries, such as those of the cervix and stomach, are likely to be rapidly off-set by a rise in breast, colon and prostate, as countries become more Westernized.  

The IARC reported its projections in an article published in The Lancet Oncology.

Ted Trimble is director of the Center for Global Health at the U.S. National Cancer Institute. Trimble says the findings of the International Agency for Research on Cancer study were not surprising given the introduction of fatty foods in middle income countries.

“We had seen tidings of this on the horizon because we know that as the developing world was adopting a Western lifestyle that we were going to be seeing an increase in the same cancers that afflict the developed world,” Trimble said.

In countries in sub-Saharan Africa, Trimble says it’s important to roll-out vaccinations to prevent cancers linked to infections, including cervical cancer, caused by human papilloma virus, and the virus that causes liver cancer.

“For 30 years now, we’ve had (a) good vaccination for hepatitis B which is responsible for a lot of cases of liver cancer around the world.  That vaccine is very cheap.  It’s about twenty-five to fifty cents a dose,” Trimble said.

Trimble also says global public health experts need to get the word out about lifestyle factors related to cancer.  For example, in China, he says about 80 percent of men smoke cigarettes, a strong risk factor for lung cancer.  

Ultimately, Trimble says the key is working with health organizations, non-governmental groups and countries themselves to improve access to early diagnosis and treatment.

“Many of these cancers can be treated effectively with some combination of surgery and radiation therapy and chemotherapy. But if you don’t have the trained doctors in place and the trained nurses in place and the right facilities in place, then people cannot get treated and cannot have potentially curative treatment for their cancers,” Trimble said.  

This week, the American Society of Clinical Oncology, which has attracted thousands of cancer experts from around the world, is meeting in Chicago.
 
The NCI’s Ted Trimble says he plans to meet with cancer specialists to discuss ways increase access to cancer treatment around the world.

You May Like

Video Miami Cubans Divided on New US Policy

While older, more conservative Cuban Americans have promoted anti-Castro political movement for years, younger generations say economically, it is time for change More

2014 Sees Dramatic Uptick in Boko Haram Abductions

Militants suspected in latest mass kidnapping of over 100 people in Gumsuri, Nigeria on Sunday More

Video Cuba Deal Is Major Victory for Pope

Role of Francis hailed throughout US, Latin America - though some Cuban-American Catholics have mixed feelings More

This forum has been closed.
Comment Sorting
Comments
     
by: Rodman Goode from: Dallas
June 04, 2012 8:41 AM
The news out of Chicago this weekend is encouraging for those with cancer and for those who support them.

http://goodethoughts.blogspot.com


by: Dan from: USA
June 02, 2012 9:31 PM
Scary problem is that Medicare last year allowed Big Pharma to change the rules, now most new cancer drugs are on Tier 4 - meaning 35% co-pays on drugs that cost anywhere from $20,000 to $100,000

Featured Videos

Your JavaScript is turned off or you have an old version of Adobe's Flash Player. Get the latest Flash player.
Sudan School Becomes Target of Aerial Attacksi
X
December 19, 2014 12:45 AM
The school dropout rate is at an all-time high in Sudan's South Kordofan state because many schools have been destroyed during the three-year civil war between the government and SPLA-N rebel forces. Adam Bailes visited Sudan's Nuba Mountains' region and reports many children are simply too scared to go to school
Video

Video Sudan School Becomes Target of Aerial Attacks

The school dropout rate is at an all-time high in Sudan's South Kordofan state because many schools have been destroyed during the three-year civil war between the government and SPLA-N rebel forces. Adam Bailes visited Sudan's Nuba Mountains' region and reports many children are simply too scared to go to school
Video

Video VOA Reporter Tours Devastated Peshawar School

Islamist militants wearing military uniforms and strapped with explosives attacked a military run school Tuesday in the northwestern Pakistani city of Peshawar. At least 141 people were killed in the horrific attack, most of them young students. VOA reporter Ayaz Gul visited the devastated school and attended the funeral of the principal who courageously tried to save her students from the deadly attack.
Video

Video Nigerians Fleeing Boko Haram Languish in Camp Near Capital

In its five-year effort to impose Islamic law in northeastern Nigeria, the Boko Haram extremist group has killed thousands of people and forced hundreds of thousands to flee. Some of those who ran for their lives now live in squalor on the edges of the capital, Abuja. Chris Stein reports for VOA.
Video

Video Putin Says Russian Economy Will Emerge Stronger

Russian President Vladimir Putin has said his country's sinking economy will not only recover but also become stronger, despite falling oil prices and Western sanctions over Ukraine. VOA's Daniel Schearf reports.
Video

Video Detained Turkish Journalists Follow Teachings of US-Based Preacher

The Turkish government’s jailing of critical journalists has sparked international condemnation and is being seen as an effort to undermine the followers of an ailing Turkish preacher based in the United States. VOA religion reporter Jerome Socolovsky has more.
Video

Video ‘Anti-Islamization’ Marches Increase Tensions In Germany

Anti-immigrant rallies in Germany have been building in recent weeks, peaking Monday night in the city of Dresden where tens of thousands of people turned out to demonstrate against what they call the ‘Islamization’ of the West. Germany has offered asylum to more Syrian refugees than any other country, and this appears to have set off the protests. Henry Ridgwell reports from London.
Video

Video Aceh Rebuilt Decade After Tsunami, But Scars Remain

On December 26, 2004 there was an earthquake in the Indian Ocean so powerful it caused the Earth’s axis to wobble a few centimeters. Onshore on the island of Sumatra, the resulting tsunami was devastating. A decade later, VOA Correspondent Steve Herman reports from Banda Aceh, Indonesia, where although there is little remaining evidence of the physical devastation, the psychological scars among survivors remain.
Video

Video Refugees Living in Kenya Long for Peace in the Home Countries

Kenya is host to numerous refugees seeking safe haven from conflict. Immigrants from Somalia face challenges in their new lives in Kenya. Ahead of International Migrants Day (December 18) Lenny Ruvaga has more for VOA News from the Kenyan capital.

All About America

AppleAndroid