Eight States Are Key in US Presidential Election

Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and vice presidential candidate Representative Paul Ryan campaign at the Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Marion County Fairgrounds, in Marion, Ohio, October 28, 2012.Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and vice presidential candidate Representative Paul Ryan campaign at the Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Marion County Fairgrounds, in Marion, Ohio, October 28, 2012.
x
Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and vice presidential candidate Representative Paul Ryan campaign at the Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Marion County Fairgrounds, in Marion, Ohio, October 28, 2012.
Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and vice presidential candidate Representative Paul Ryan campaign at the Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Marion County Fairgrounds, in Marion, Ohio, October 28, 2012.
Ken Bredemeier
As the U.S. presidential campaign heads toward the November 6 election, it appears the outcome will be decided in eight of the country’s 50 states.

Surveys in the eight battleground states show voters are closely split in deciding whether to give the Democratic incumbent, President Barack Obama, a second four-year term in the White House, or come January, make his Republican challenger, one-time venture capitalist Mitt Romney, the American leader.

While the surveys track voter sentiment for both candidates throughout the country, the national popular vote does not decide U.S. presidential campaigns. Rather, U.S. presidents are essentially elected in a collection of state-by-state contests, in a two-century-old electoral college system, with each state’s influence on the outcome roughly dependent on the size of its population.
 
President Barack Obama waves as he boards Air Force One before departing the Orlando International Airport for Washington to monitor Hurricane Sandy, in Orlando, Florida, October 29, 2012.President Barack Obama waves as he boards Air Force One before departing the Orlando International Airport for Washington to monitor Hurricane Sandy, in Orlando, Florida, October 29, 2012.
x
President Barack Obama waves as he boards Air Force One before departing the Orlando International Airport for Washington to monitor Hurricane Sandy, in Orlando, Florida, October 29, 2012.
President Barack Obama waves as he boards Air Force One before departing the Orlando International Airport for Washington to monitor Hurricane Sandy, in Orlando, Florida, October 29, 2012.
Garnering state support

The goal for both candidates is to accumulate enough state wins throughout the country to reach a majority of 270 votes of the 538 available.

Early voting already is occurring in many states, but several independent analysts say that 42 states seem solidly in either Obama’s or Romney’s camp, or leaning that way.  At the moment, that would leave Obama with a 237 to 206 electoral vote lead, assuming there are no unexpected upsets in any of these states.

As a result, Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, and Romney and his running mate, Wisconsin congressman Paul Ryan, have made repeated campaign visits to the remaining eight states with a total of 95 electoral votes. They cancelled some campaign stops Monday, however, as Hurricane Sandy barreled toward the country's East Coast.


Battleground states in the 2012 U.S. presidential electionBattleground states in the 2012 U.S. presidential election
x
Battleground states in the 2012 U.S. presidential election
Battleground states in the 2012 U.S. presidential election
Surveys show tight race

Polls in recent days show Romney edging ahead of the incumbent in national voter sentiment, in part because of overwhelming support for him in some southern and western states. Those are the most conservative parts of the country that in recent elections have voted solidly for Republican presidential candidates.

But the surveys - at least for the moment - show a different story in the battleground states.

In these eight states, the polling of would-be voters shows Obama maintaining slight leads in five of them - the midwestern states of Ohio, Wisconsin and Iowa, as well as the northeastern state of New Hampshire and the western state of Nevada. If Obama wins these five states with 44 electoral votes, and holds the ones he is expected to carry, he would have 281 electoral votes, enough to win a second term in the White House.

Ohio looms large

Polling shows that Romney appears to have gained a narrow lead in the southern state of Florida, with 29 electoral votes, and is in close contests with the president in the mid-Atlantic state of Virginia and the western state of Colorado with another 22.

Numerous analysts say the bellwether state of Ohio, with its 18 electoral votes, is the key battleground. No Republican has won the White House without winning that state. It is a large state with three major cities - Cleveland, Columbus and Cincinnati - and numerous smaller towns. There are vast farmlands in Ohio, as well as major manufacturing plants.   

The president and Romney have staged numerous campaign rallies in Ohio. Surveys have shown the president with an average two-percentage point lead. But if Romney were to overcome that lead and collect the state's electoral votes, he could win the election.
This forum has been closed.
Comment Sorting
Comments
     
by: pmacdee from: California
October 29, 2012 12:39 PM
This article just summarizes what is available on http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

Featured Videos

Your JavaScript is turned off or you have an old version of Adobe's Flash Player. Get the latest Flash player.
Olympics Construction Scars Sacred Korean Mountaini
X
July 02, 2015 4:10 AM
Environmentalists in South Korea are protesting a Winter Olympics construction project to build a ski slope through a 500-year-old protected forest. Brian Padden reports that although there is strong national support for hosting the 2018 Pyeongchang Winter Olympics, there are growing public concerns over the costs and possible ecological damage at the revered mountain.
Video

Video Olympics Construction Scars Sacred Korean Mountain

Environmentalists in South Korea are protesting a Winter Olympics construction project to build a ski slope through a 500-year-old protected forest. Brian Padden reports that although there is strong national support for hosting the 2018 Pyeongchang Winter Olympics, there are growing public concerns over the costs and possible ecological damage at the revered mountain.
Video

Video Xenophobia Victims in South Africa Flee Violence, Then Return

Many Malawians fled South Africa early this year after xenophobic attacks on African immigrants. But many quickly found life was no better at home and have returned to South Africa – often illegally and without jobs, and facing the tough task of having to start over. Lameck Masina and Anita Powell file from Johannesburg.
Video

Video Family of American Marine Calls for Release From Iranian Prison

As the crowd of journalists covering the Iran talks swells, so too do the opportunities for media coverage.  Hoping to catch the attention of high-level diplomats, the family of American-Iranian marine Amir Hekmati is in Vienna, pleading for his release from an Iranian prison after nearly 4 years.  VOA’s Heather Murdock reports from Vienna.
Video

Video UK Holds Terror Drill as MPs Mull Tunisia Response

After pledging a tough response to last Friday’s terror attack in Tunisia, which came just days before the 10th anniversary of the bomb attacks on London’s transport network, British security services are shifting their focus to overseas counter-terror operations. VOA's Henry Ridgwell has more.
Video

Video Obama on Cuba: This is What Change Looks Like

President Barack Obama says the United States will soon reopen its embassy in Cuba for the first time since 1961, ending a half-century of isolation. VOA White House correspondent Luis Ramirez reports.
Video

Video Hate Groups Spread Influence Via Internet

Hate groups of various kinds are using the Internet for propaganda and recruitment, and a Jewish human rights organization that monitors these groups, the Simon Wiesenthal Center, says their influence is growing. The messages are different, but the calls to hatred or violence are similar. VOA's Mike O’Sullivan reports.
Video

Video US Silica Sand Mining Surge Worries Illinois Residents, Businesses

Increased domestic U.S. oil and gas production, thanks to advances known as “fracking,” has created a boom for other industries supporting that extraction. Demand for silica sand, used in fracking, could triple over the next five years. In the Midwest state of Illinois, people living near the mines are worried about how increased silica sand mining will affect their businesses and their health. VOA’s Kane Farabaugh has more in this first of a series of reports.
Video

Video Blind Somali Journalist Defies Odds in Mogadishu

Despite improving security in the last few years, Somalia remains one of the most dangerous countries to be a journalist – even more so for someone who cannot see. Abdulaziz Billow has the story of journalist Abdifatah Hassan Kalgacal, who has been reporting from the Somali capital for the last decade despite being blind.
Video

Video Texas Defies Same-Sex Marriage Ruling

Texas state officials have criticized the US Supreme Court decision giving same-sex couples the right to marry nationwide. The attorney general of Texas says last week's decision did not overrule constitutional "rights of religious liberty," and therefore officials performing wedding services can refuse to perform them for same-sex couples if it is against their religious beliefs. Zlatica Hoke reports on the controversy.
Video

Video Rabbi Hits Road to Heal Jewish-Muslim Relations in France

France is on high alert after last week's terrorist attack near the city Lyon, just six months after deadly Paris shootings. The attack have added new tensions to relations between French Jews and Muslims. France’s Jewish and Muslim communities also share a common heritage, though, and as far as one French rabbi is concerned, they are destined to be friends. From the Paris suburb of La Courneuve, Lisa Bryant reports about Rabbi Michel Serfaty and his friendship bus.
Video

Video Saudi Leaks Expose ‘Checkbook Diplomacy’ In Battle With Iran

Saudi Arabia’s willingness to wield its oil money on the global diplomatic stage appears to have been laid bare, after the website WikiLeaks published tens of thousands of leaked cables from Riyadh’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. VOA's Henry Ridgwell reports.
Video

Video In Kenya, Police Said to Shoot First, Ask Questions Later

An organization that documents torture and extrajudicial killings says Kenyan police were responsible for 1,252 shooting deaths in five cities, including Nairobi, between 2009 and 2014, representing 67 percent of all gun deaths in the areas reviewed. Gabe Joselow has more from Nairobi.

VOA Blogs