News / Middle East

Former US Official: Syria Faces Unclear Future

Former US National Security Advisor Brent Scowcroft sees the uprising in Syria as much more complex than the Arab Spring uprising in Libya. (VOA)Former US National Security Advisor Brent Scowcroft sees the uprising in Syria as much more complex than the Arab Spring uprising in Libya. (VOA)
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Former US National Security Advisor Brent Scowcroft sees the uprising in Syria as much more complex than the Arab Spring uprising in Libya. (VOA)
Former US National Security Advisor Brent Scowcroft sees the uprising in Syria as much more complex than the Arab Spring uprising in Libya. (VOA)
VOA News
A top advisor to several U.S. presidents says the crisis in Syria is particularly difficult because it is uncertain whether the conflict would end if President Bashar al-Assad steps down or is forced out.

Brent Scowcroft views the two-year Syrian uprising as much more complex than the Arab Spring uprising in Libya.

"In Libya, you could see the alternatives if you throw out [Moammar] Ghadafi," Scowcroft said in an interview with VOA. "[In] Syria, the alternatives are not so clear."

President Barack Obama has announced $155 million in additional humanitarian assistance for the Syrian people. The conflict has taken at least 60,000 lives with no end to the violence in sight.

On Iran, Scowcroft believes the United States must work closely with its Turkish partners to, in his words, "deal" with Iran and make it a "solid member of the region" instead of the "danger that it is now."

"The security situation is very complex," Scowcroft said. "But the way for Iran to solve these problems is not to develop a nuclear weapon. That makes things worse for the whole region."

Scowcroft served as national security advisor to U.S. presidents Gerald Ford and George H.W. Bush.  He was chairman of President George W. Bush's Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board and a military assistant to President Richard Nixon.

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by: JKF from: Ottawa, Canada
January 29, 2013 2:23 PM
Syria will be like Iraq, but much worse, because there are more ethnic and more religeous groups involved. Given the amount of bloodshed/large number of casualties, mostly Sunni Muslims, the future of the Alawhite is zero to none, the future of the Christians will be marginal. Potentially, given the massive destruction of infrastructure, a failed state is emerging. Given the massive quantities of weapons that the Assad regime has, and the failure of the UNSC to force a transition, we will be looking at a very dangerous failed state.

Syra has at least 10 times, if not much more weapons, than Libya had. Given that Syria had armed itself to face Israel a state with a super airforce and superior armour, their stockpiles of anti-aircraft and anti-tank missiles, especially shoulder fired, must be massive. If these weapons get distributed, like the ones after Lybia's "spring of hell", it may become very unsafe to fly anywhere in the area and beyond. And I guess the UNSC/Western block, are expecting divine intervention to tell them what needs to be done?

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