News / Middle East

    Iran Braces for EU Embargo

    An Iranian worker at the South Pars gas field in the southern Iranian port town of Asaluyeh.An Iranian worker at the South Pars gas field in the southern Iranian port town of Asaluyeh.
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    An Iranian worker at the South Pars gas field in the southern Iranian port town of Asaluyeh.
    An Iranian worker at the South Pars gas field in the southern Iranian port town of Asaluyeh.
    Lisa Bryant
    PARIS - European Union sanctions against imports of Iranian oil went into effect Sunday. The sanctions are part of a growing arsenal of measures aimed at deterring Iran's nuclear program. But will they work?

    Iran has had months to adjust to the new European Union sanctions, which were announced in January.  The EU ban covers both oil imports from Iran and tanker insurance for ships carrying Iranian crude.

    But Ali Ansari, Iran expert for the London think tank Chatham House, says Iran is surprisingly unprepared for the fallout.

    "You would have thought they would have been expanding their avenue toward the east, but it looks like even the Chinese have reduced their take of Iranian oil - not dramatically, but they've reduced it. And it's become quite difficult to sell their oil elsewhere, partly because of the banking sanctions and their inability to move currency around," said Ansari.

    The EU oil ban is part of a tightening noose of international sanctions against Iran's nuclear program - a program that Tehran claims is for peaceful purposes, but the West fears has military ends.

    Little progress was made during talks last month between Iran and world powers in Moscow. EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton acknowledged a substantial gap remained between the two sides.

    "The choice is Iran's," she said. "We expect Iran to decide whether it is willing to make diplomacy work, to focus on reaching agreement on concrete, confidence-building steps and to address the concerns of the international community."

    Europe is not likely to feel the bite of the import cutoff, at least in the short term. Oil prices have dropped in recent months and Saudi Arabia has stepped up its production. There are also media reports that the Saudis have reopened an alternative oil pipeline should the Iranians make good on threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil shipping route.

    Iran warns the EU embargo will do nothing to end the standoff over its nuclear program. Analyst Ansari believes the sanctions will bite - though it is not clear how deeply.

    "Those who think there's going to be an immediate impact … that's probably not true," he said. "The Iranians probably have enough of a cushion there to sustain themselves for a little while longer. But of course, the longer this drags out, the worse it's going to get for Iran."

    Philippe Moreau Defarges of the French Institute of International Relations believes the embargo will have little effect.

    "They are accustomed to live with sanctions," he said. "That's why today, they don't bother [Iran]. 'Well, another sanction, another embargo. We can go on with that.'"

    The EU ban is clearly making a difference elsewhere. This past week, South Korea announced it will halt Iranian oil imports, becoming the first major Asian buyer of Iranian crude to do so.

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    Comments
         
    by: Godwin from: Nigeria
    July 02, 2012 10:08 AM
    For a people who understand nothing but violence, embargo is child's play. Iran will fight to the last drop of their blood since the bite of the export embargo will not start from the top. It's only when the teeth of the embargo becomes brazen before the Ayatollahs (not even Ahmadinejad who is a mere whipping stick) will the mullahs begin to retrace their steps. Nobody else in Iran is worth anything except the Ayatollahs - thank God for the feud with the presidency out there. The only solution to stop the nuclear growth is for NATO and the EU to strike Iran. You'll be surprised how Africans, Arabs and Asians will crowd in, for Iran has incurred much hatred the world orver
    In Response

    by: Hasima Barguty from: Egypt
    July 03, 2012 2:16 AM
    the point here, "Godwin" is that no one trust Arabs- for good reasons - and please don't let me start telling you about Africans things that you might be better situated to tell the rest of us.... unfortunately, the only legitimate force is the US/Israel strike force... that we all pray in our hearts to do the right thing - but no one will admit...

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