News / USA

Obama Expands Lead in Florida, Ohio: New Poll

President Barack Obama speaks at a campaign event at Bowling Green State University in Bowling Green, Ohio, September 26, 2012.
President Barack Obama speaks at a campaign event at Bowling Green State University in Bowling Green, Ohio, September 26, 2012.
Michael Bowman
— U.S. President Barack Obama has a growing lead in two battleground states that could determine the outcome of the November election, according to a new survey of voters in Florida and Ohio.  The polling trend puts additional pressure on Republican challenger Mitt Romney to perform strongly during next month's presidential debates.

A new Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters has President Obama leading former governor Mitt Romney by nine points in Florida, 53-to-44 percent, and 10 points in Ohio, 53-to-43 percent.  A month ago, Quinnipiac had the president leading by just three points in Florida and six points in Ohio.

"For the first time since the campaign began, voters now see Barack Obama as better able to handle the economy than Mitt Romney," said Quinnipiac Polling director Peter Brown.

Other recent polls also show the president leading in Florida and Ohio, but by smaller margins.

Brown notes the Quinnipiac survey was conducted in the wake of a video surfacing of Romney telling campaign contributors 47 percent of Americans pay no federal income taxes and prefer government dependency over personal responsibility.

Battleground states in the 2012 U.S. presidential election (click to expand)Battleground states in the 2012 U.S. presidential election (click to expand)
x
Battleground states in the 2012 U.S. presidential election (click to expand)
Battleground states in the 2012 U.S. presidential election (click to expand)
"This poll was taken last week when there was a media fury going on about Romney's comments about 47 percent of the electorate," Brown added.  "It would be naïve not to think that had some impact on this."

If Mitt Romney is worried about the polling trend, he gave no indication of it at a campaign event Wednesday in Ohio.

"I do not believe we can afford four more years like the last four years," Romney said.  "And I believe that after the debates and after the campaigns and all the ads are over, the people of Ohio are going to say loud and clear on November 6 [that] we cannot afford four more years, we must do better."

Later in the day, President Obama also campaigned in the state, where he promised to build on recent gains in American manufacturing.

"We can create one million new manufacturing jobs in the next four years with the right policies," Obama said.  "That is what I am fighting for, that is why I am running for a second term as president.  That is what is going to be important to Ohio."

Pollster Peter Brown stresses that polling data in September provide no guarantees of November election results.

"Certainly this can change," Brown explained.  "You have got more than 30 days left and three high-profile debates.  So it would be foolish to write this campaign off."

Even so, Brown says the polling numbers are an ominous sign for Romney, who is widely assumed to need to win most battleground states in order to be victorious on Election Day.  Mathematically, he says, the president's path to a second term in office is looking considerably easier.

"If he [Obama] could win one or two of these big swing states, Florida or Ohio for instance, there is just not any rational way to see how Romney wins [the election]," Bronwn noted.  "That is why today's numbers are so good for the president.  He is up nine in Florida, 10 in Ohio.  If he wins both of those states, he is virtually assured of re-election."

President Obama faces Governor Romney on October 3, in the first of three nationally-televised presidential debates.  The events may be the last best chances for Romney to swing public opinion in battleground states and beyond.

You May Like

Video China Investigates Powerful Former Security Chief

Analysts say move by President Xi is an effort to win more party support, take step toward economic reforms, removing those who would stand in way of change More

South Africa Land Reforms Still Contentious 20 Years Later

Activists argue that the pace of land reform is slow and biased; legal experts question how some proposed reforms would be implemented More

In Vietnam, Religious Freedoms Violated, UN Finds

Beliefs reportedly prompt heavy surveillance, intimidation and travel restrictions More

Featured Videos

Your JavaScript is turned off or you have an old version of Adobe's Flash Player. Get the latest Flash player.
Gazans in Shelled School Sought Shelteri
X
Scott Bobb
July 30, 2014 8:16 PM
Israel's air and ground assault against Hamas-led fighters in Gaza has forced many Palestinians to flee their homes, seeking safety. But safe places are hard to find, as VOA’s Scott Bobb reports from Jabaliya.
Video

Video Gazans in Shelled School Sought Shelter

Israel's air and ground assault against Hamas-led fighters in Gaza has forced many Palestinians to flee their homes, seeking safety. But safe places are hard to find, as VOA’s Scott Bobb reports from Jabaliya.
Video

Video Rapid Spread of Ebola in West Africa Prompts Global Alert

Across West Africa, health officials are struggling to keep up with what the World Health Organization describes as the worst ebola outbreak on record. The virus has killed hundreds of people this year. U.S. President Barack Obama and other world leaders are watching the developments closely as they weigh what actions, if any, are needed to help contain the disease.
Video

Video Michelle Obama: Young Africans Need to Embrace Women's Rights

U.S. first lady Michelle Obama urged some of Africa's best and brightest to advocate for women's rights in their home countries. As VOA's Pam Dockins explains, Obama spoke to some 500 participants of the Young African Leaders Initiative, a six-week U.S.-based training and development program.
Video

Video Immigrant Influx on Texas Border Heats Up Political Debate

Immigrants from Central America continue to cross the U.S.-Mexico border in south Texas, seeking asylum in the United States, as officials grapple with ways to deal with the problem and provide shelter for thousands of minors among the illegal border crossers. As VOA's Greg Flakus reports from Houston, the issue is complicated by internal U.S. politics and U.S. relations with the troubled nations that immigrants are fleeing.
Video

Video Study: Latino Students Most Segregated in California

Even though legal school segregation ended in the United States 60 years ago, one study finds segregation still occurs in the U.S. based on income and race. The University of California Los Angeles Civil Rights Project finds that students in California are more segregated by race than ever before, especially Latinos. Elizabeth Lee reports for VOA from Los Angeles.
Video

Video Vietnamese Staging Chinese Product Boycott After Oil Rig Spat

China recently pulled an oil rig from an area of the disputed South China Sea that Vietnam also claims. Despite the action, the incident has had a lingering effect on consumers in Vietnam. VOA's Reasey Poch reports from Hanoi on an effort to boycott Chinese products.
Video

Video A Summer Camp for All the World

VIDEO: During workshops and social gatherings, the Global Youth Village summer camp encourages young people to cooperate and embrace their differences, while learning to communicate with people from other countries. VOA's Deborah Block has more.
Video

Video From Cantankerous Warlock to Incorruptible Priest, 'Harry Potter' Actor Embraces Diverse Roles

He’s perhaps best known as Mad Eye Moody, the whimsical wizard in the Harry Potter franchise. But character actor Brendan Gleeson's resume includes dozens of films, and he embraces all the characters he inhabits with equal passion. In an interview with VOA’s Penelope Poulou, Gleeson discussed his new drama "Calvary" and his secret to success.

AppleAndroid