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Pentagon: US, Afghanistan Reach 'Last Chapter' in War

Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai (R) walks alongside U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta (L) on a guided tour of the Pentagon Memorial, in memory of the victims of the September 11 attack, at the Pentagon, January 10, 2013.
Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai (R) walks alongside U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta (L) on a guided tour of the Pentagon Memorial, in memory of the victims of the September 11 attack, at the Pentagon, January 10, 2013.
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U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta has hailed what he calls "the last chapter" of a struggle to ensure that Afghanistan can govern itself and avoid reverting to a safe haven for terrorists.
 
He made those remarks at the start of his meeting Thursday with Afghan President Hamid Karzai at the Pentagon, as the Obama administration determines the U.S. military future in Afghanistan.
 
Panetta said more than 10 years of war have paved the way for Afghanistan to stand on its own.
 
Karzai expressed appreciation for the years of support from the U.S. and Afghanistan's other allies. 
 
The Afghan president is scheduled to meet later Thursday with U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in Washington, before joining her for a working dinner.
 
On Friday, Karzai will hold talks with U.S. President Barack Obama.  The two leaders are expected to discuss security issues, namely how many U.S. troops may be stationed in Afghanistan after the majority pull out in 2014, and under what conditions.
 
Current plans call for the United States to withdraw nearly all of its 68,000 troops from Afghanistan by the end of 2014.
 
But that plan hinges on a number of conditions, including whether Afghan forces will be able to take over security at that time.  It is also not clear what will be the role of the Americans who stay behind, if any do remain.
 
Some analysts believe the Taliban may be plotting a comeback and is just waiting for U.S. and other Western forces to leave. 
 
Retired U.S. Army Colonel Thomas Lynch, one of the authors of a new book about Afghanistan and its future called Talibanistan, says plans for a U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan may be premature.
 
"I personally believe that the dynamics in Afghanistan and the dynamics in the region right now are not well-suited for a precipitous or complete withdrawal of American or Western forces," he said. "I think the Afghan national army and its security forces still need a lot of assistance -- logistical training and some operational. I think there still needs to be partnership with Afghan counterterrorist units and American and Western counterterrorist units." 
 
Another contributor to Talibanistan, Brian Fishman, a counterterrorism expert with the New America foundation, sees a gloomy and dangerous future for the Afghans if the United States leaves.
 
"I am quite pessimistic about the Afghan government. And I don't think what we will see is the Taliban rushing with armored columns back into Kabul. But I do think that civil war in Afghanistan is a real possibility in the years after an American withdrawal, particularly if the money stops flowing the way that it did after the Soviets left," he said. 
 
While President Karzai has often criticized U.S. actions in Afghanistan, he also has spoken about his desire for some U.S. presence to remain.

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by: JKF from: Ottawa, Canada
January 10, 2013 5:42 PM
Afghanistan has had at least 8 years of getting its security apparatus up to speed. Another 8 yrs, will not make much difference, for as long as the strategy is to deal with the civil war. Civil wars are very difficult to stop by foreign powers/forces. It is quite clear, that even the Afghan forces and govt have become less and less tolerant of Western forces. Statements made by Mr. Karzai, to his media, which most of the time do not support Western forces, just add to the growing anger, by the people, against the Western presence. And blue on blue deliberate killings, just do not benefit anyone. For the civil war counter strategy to succeed, Western forces would need to enter into Pakistan, another hornets nest, with no honey. Essentially, Western forces would need to operate over the entire Pashtun homeland, and even then, changing the outcome of the civil war would be very difficult, with not a great chance of success; frankly the effort is not worth it. To win in Afghanistan, you also need to win in Pakistan, a different approach would be needed, much like the strategy used to end the war in Japan, with all the human tragedy and unfortunate moral consequences, and what would be gained to make the approach worth it? nothing, but a bunch of empty hills. The time is ripe, for the Afghan forces to start working on their own. Just look at the outcome, of trying to quell a civil war in Iraq.

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