News / USA

    Report: Trump Presidency a Top Risk for the World

    Protesters, organized by The Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence, stage a "die-in" in front of Trump Tower, the residence of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, March 16, 2016, in New York.
    Protesters, organized by The Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence, stage a "die-in" in front of Trump Tower, the residence of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, March 16, 2016, in New York.
    VOA News

    A Donald Trump presidency is the sixth biggest threat facing the world, tied with the prospect of terrorism destabilizing the global economy, according to an assessment by British research group EIU.

    Its latest ranking of global risks has a sharp economic slowdown in China at the top.  That is followed by Russia's actions in Syria and Ukraine bringing a new cold war, a corporate debt crisis in emerging markets and the fracture of the European Union.

    EIU says it does not expect Trump to win the November election, but that there is a moderate probability he will and a high impact if he does.

    Controversial stands

    The group cites his hostility toward free trade, advocacy of the killing of families of terrorists, support for ground troops in Syria and alienation of both China and Mexico that could result in trade wars and fueling terrorist groups.

    Trump has promised to drive hard deals in international negotiations, particularly with China.  One of his most repeated campaign pledges is to build along the southern U.S. border with Mexico to keep out illegal immigrants, a project he says Mexico will fund itself.  

    FILE - A group of Central American immigrants sit between vegetation for fear of organized crime bands in Huehuetoca, near Mexico City, June 1, 2015. An increasing number of Central Americans are sneaking across Mexico's border en route to the United States.
    FILE - A group of Central American immigrants sit between vegetation for fear of organized crime bands in Huehuetoca, near Mexico City, June 1, 2015. An increasing number of Central Americans are sneaking across Mexico's border en route to the United States.


    EIU's says the probability of a sharp economic slowdown in China is high and would come with a "very high impact."  Too much of a slowdown, the group says, and already slumping prices for commodities like oil and metals will drop further, while markets in the United States and European Union will have a tougher time expanding sales with Chinese customers.

    China also features just behind Trump and terrorism on the list.  It's disputed activities in the South China Sea pose a risk of armed clashes, EIU says, and while the prospects of that happening are low, any military buildup bring the chance of even an accidental incident escalating into a high impact event.

    WATCH: US voters weigh in on Trump as race narrows

    Voters Weigh in as US Presidential Race Narrowsi
    Aru Pande
    March 16, 2016 10:57 PM
    Big victories for Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump in Tuesday's primaries have many looking ahead to a race that most likely will center on those two presidential candidates. VOA correspondent Aru Pande talks to voters in Florida on the issues driving the campaign and whom they favor going forward.

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    Comment Sorting
    Comments page of 2
    by: Anonymous
    March 18, 2016 1:33 AM
    No, Trump is just a big risk for corporate and Saudi/Turkish puppet politicians in the West (e.g. the Bush clan, the UK's Cameron, Clinton's clan...)

    Trump is good for the rest of the US and the world.

    by: PermReader
    March 17, 2016 2:26 PM
    Is it a circus performance,when a bipartizan broadcasting uses foreign opinion against the American favorite candidate? The VOA reputation loss is already impossible.

    by: williweb from: Phoenix Arizona USA
    March 17, 2016 12:08 PM
    The Washington cartel sees the end coming. Trump 2016

    by: Godwin from: Nigeria
    March 17, 2016 11:31 AM
    That Americans see Trump’s proposition and root for him means presidents before now have done their own things, not what the people wanted; USA’s been ruled by presidents whose interest run counter to that of the people. It means that the leaders have always taken the people for a ride, seeing themselves as right, majority Americans wrong.

    While democracy in its earliest/primary definition means government of the people for the people and by the people, USA’s establishment politicians changed that to favor rule by cabal – as one Nigerian House of Rep. member’d call this “cabalocracy”. Which is why the cabal is uncomfortable with Trump’s style. How can the president and his cabinet be right while the electorate are wrong? It doesn’t add-up. They want a change – though not Nigeria’s type that’s turned ‘chain’ wherein the people have no way out, hence the change has roped everything in, including the judiciary so that the common man finds refuge nowhere.

    The establishment politicians see themselves as wise while the rest of the people are fools. If majority Americans’ve live by the dictates of political few, then USA’s a dictatorship not a democracy. Allow campaigns freehand for people to make their choice.

    by: Jim from: US
    March 17, 2016 10:28 AM
    Trump is a top risk for our so-called "political elite" to lose its cushy position and actually have to face the issues that plague the United States. Just think -- the rest of the world might actually have to pay for its own defense, get halfway balanced trade deals with the US, and stop receiving foreign aid that we have to borrow from China. Of course its afraid! And why is VOA getting involved in politics? They're part of the frightened Establishment.

    by: demyx
    March 17, 2016 9:33 AM
    all i know is that if this nation is stupid enough to nominate trump as president it will not end well for any of us. trump is hot headed and stupid and i feel like he will turn this into a dictatorship one way or another. if trump is elected president im moving to canada. where there will be peace. if trump is elected the word peace will be removed out of the dictionaries because peace will just be a fading memory
    In Response

    by: Godwin from: Nigeria
    March 17, 2016 11:48 AM
    What is wrong with you thinking like that? You are only saying you've been comfortable living in dictatorship since presidents before Trump have only done what they wanted and not what you wanted. Or on the contrary, they have done what just a few of you, including demyx wanted, and not what the majority wanted. That is wrong.

    For those expecting chaos when Trump wins, it's just because they want to become Americans where they intend to be idle and earn a living by bursary. Everybody cannot be American or live in USA. People should be made to live in their own countries and visit USA when they have business to do there. If Trump is being castigated or hated for wanting a USA for US people, then...Even from outside USA I believe Trump is right in his style.
    In Response

    by: Nobody from: USA
    March 17, 2016 10:04 AM
    Just a couple of points...

    First, it's bad form to just post your opinion that says that "everyone is just stupid". One million Elvis fans can't be wrong, you know!

    Second, Trump is still in the primaries. There is a bunch of back room deal making and he is counting on the silent majority vote. Wait until the general election to see his real angle.

    You know, Canada allows dual citizenship but Uncle Sam expects your complete loyalty. Canada DOES expect you to have financial means established for the next few years before they let you in though. It might be complicated to come back and you may find that you have been a happy participant in the total economic war that has been going on for the last 35 years or so since Reagan began the banking deregulation process.

    I've got Canadian family. I've been around. They don't like us much either but when it all comes down to it, just about everyone's politics are based on the pursuit of money and I somehow doubt you'll complain as long as you're not having your job replaced by Asian labor or machines.

    ..but unless you're part of the liberal matriarchy and willing to do some dirty deeds, don't count on the ka-ching! That game of musical chairs is simply winding down!
    In Response

    by: Rich from: S. Cal
    March 17, 2016 10:03 AM
    Brain dead, elite establishment: Be afraid -Very afraid! Your days in power are coming to an abrupt end!!

    by: Nobody from: USA
    March 17, 2016 9:27 AM
    This election remains a circus as narrated by the politically shrill.

    First, Trump is not an idiot. He may be playing a dangerous game with the public sentiment but that sentiment is what it is. Working people are mad as heck at the system. Trump could be commended for channeling that anger or we can go on pretending that the liberal side of the political fence is doing anything other than playing the "anyone but a straight, white male" angle and insulting a major part of the voting public.

    There's two sides to every fight. Trump supporters weren't disrupting Sanders rallies. Nope! Who were the real thugs in that little spat that every media dog has portrayed as a Brown Shirt rally. (Which, by the way, was an organization run by a homosexual "elite" cadre. )

    Face it. The working class don't like having their livelihoods stripped from them by both establishment conservatives and elitist liberals. There's nothing here other than simple class warfare.

    ....but you're going to play this out to an ugly conclusion anyway. I can't imagine any other result.

    by: Mark Foss
    March 17, 2016 9:22 AM
    Lets get this straight
    Hillary is under investigation How has the past with Hillary worked for you, If your happy with Hillary and Obama then go rest in peace since you can't fix stupid

    by: Solaris
    March 17, 2016 8:10 AM
    ''Report: Trump Presidency a Top Risk for the World''!! : If that's so then why all terrorist websites support Clinton ?.

    Fortunately : although the US can elect a female Clinton but it can not deceit the world anymore especially by VOA propaganda in favor of her terrorist friendly attitude not to mention the most destabilizing factor so far has been US policies around the world but take my advise the Assad regime will last even more than Hillary's tenure and terrorists even with help her will get no where for the people of Asia and Europe has seen the true ugly face of Uncle Sam.
    In Response

    by: ChuTalknBoutWillis from: Merica
    March 17, 2016 9:53 AM
    You should seriously evaluate your punctuation and try proofreading your comment before you submit it.

    by: Banh Huynh from: USA
    March 17, 2016 8:02 AM
    We never pay attention to foreign media about our the Presidential Election .We have the right to choose our President and the American Policy.We want to protect the USA and its businesses.We want to be independent,
    Comments page of 2

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