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Lithuanians vote in presidential runoff amid Russia fears

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A voter casts a ballot during the second round of the country's presidential election at a polling station in Vilnius, Lithuania on May 26, 2024.
A voter casts a ballot during the second round of the country's presidential election at a polling station in Vilnius, Lithuania on May 26, 2024.

Lithuania's heads of state and government faced off on Sunday in round two of the presidential election, as the Baltic nation prioritizes defense and security amid fears over neighboring Russia.

Both candidates agree that the NATO and EU member of 2.8 million should boost defense spending to counter the perceived threat, and to that end the government recently proposed a tax increase.

Former banker and incumbent Gitanas Nauseda, 60, is the heavy favorite to win another five-year term, saying he expects to receive 75% of votes.

There have been no opinion polls since the first round, when Nauseda won 44% of the ballot and Prime Minister Ingrida Simonyte 20%.

This combination of file pictures shows (L) Lithuania's Prime Minister Ingrida Simonyte addressing a press conference in Vilnius, on Apr. 5, 2024 and (R) Lithuania's President Gitanas Nauseda on Apr. 2, 2024..
This combination of file pictures shows (L) Lithuania's Prime Minister Ingrida Simonyte addressing a press conference in Vilnius, on Apr. 5, 2024 and (R) Lithuania's President Gitanas Nauseda on Apr. 2, 2024..

Simonyte, the 49-year-old candidate of the ruling conservatives, is running for president again after losing to Nauseda in the last presidential ballot.

The Lithuanian president steers defense and foreign policy, attending EU and NATO summits, but must consult with the government and parliament on appointing the most senior officials.

While the candidates agree on defense, they share diverging views on Lithuania's relations with China, which have been strained for years over Taiwan.

'Threat of war'
Gene, a pensioner who refused to give her full name, said she had voted for Nauseda.

"He is a courageous, decisive, consistent decision-maker who is respected in the European Union and is fighting for Lithuania," she told AFP.

"He respects the people, he is intelligent and he is committed to putting Lithuania on the path to prosperity."

Fifty-three-year-old artist Gediminas Zilys, voted Simonyte.

"I understand that she will not win, but because support gives people confidence, we must vote for her to show that she has a lot of supporters," he said.

Pensioner Ausra Vysniauskiene preferred Nauseda.

"He's an intelligent man, he speaks many languages, he's educated, he's a banker," the 67-year-old told AFP.

"I want men to lead, especially when the threat of war is so big."

Lithuania is a significant donor to Ukraine, which has been battling Russia since the 2022 invasion, and is already a big defense spender, with a military budget equal to 2.75 percent of GDP.

This week, Simonyte's government came up with proposals that could help raise defense spending to three percent.

Lithuania intends to use the funds to purchase tanks and additional air defence systems, and to host a German brigade, as Berlin plans to complete the stationing of around 5,000 troops by 2027.

Vilnius fears it could be next in the crosshairs if Moscow were to win its war against Ukraine.

According to the Germany-based Kiel Institute, Lithuania ranks among the top three countries globally in terms of the GDP percentage spent on aid for Ukraine, at 1.22 percent.

Tension over Taiwan

The uneasy relationship between Nauseda and Simonyte's ruling conservatives has at times triggered foreign policy debates, most notably on Lithuania's relations with China.

Bilateral ties turned tense in 2021, when Vilnius allowed Taiwan to open a de facto embassy under the island's name — a departure from the common diplomatic practice of using the name of the capital Taipei to avoid angering Beijing.

China, which considers self-ruled Taiwan a part of its territory, downgraded diplomatic relations with Vilnius and blocked its exports, leading some Lithuanian politicians to urge a restoration of relations for the sake of the economy.

Nauseda sees the need to change the name of the representative office, while Simonyte pushes back against it.

Gay rights

But for voters, personal differences between the candidates, as well as economic policy and human rights, seem to matter more.

Simonyte is known for her sense of humor and for writing her own social media posts.

She draws support from liberal voters in bigger cities and traditional conservative voters.

She is a fiscal conservative with liberal views on social issues and notably supports same-sex partnerships, which still stir controversy in the predominantly Catholic country.

"I would like to see faster progress, more openness... more tolerance for people who are different from us," Simonyte said when casting an early vote.

Nauseda, who maintains a moderate and measured stance on nearly all issues, has established himself as a promoter of the welfare state, with conservative views on gay rights.

"The past five years have shown that I have tried to achieve the goals I set," he said while casting an early vote.

Polling stations close at 1700 GMT, with no exit polls expected.

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