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North Korea: Trump Too Much Like Obama


Chinese President Xi Jinping meets with U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson at the Great Hall of the People, March 19, 2017 in Beijing, China.
Chinese President Xi Jinping meets with U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson at the Great Hall of the People, March 19, 2017 in Beijing, China.

North Korea has a criticism of U.S. President Donald Trump he probably wasn’t expecting: He’s too much like Barack Obama.

North Korea’s state media, which regularly vilified Obama in the strongest terms, had been slow to do the same with the Trump administration, possibly so that officials in Pyongyang could figure out what direction Trump will likely take and what new policies he may pursue.

But his top diplomat’s recent trip to Asia, which featured some pretty tough talk, appears to have loosened their lips.

U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson (right) stands with South Korean Deputy Commander of the Combined Force Command Gen. Leem Ho-young (second right) as two North Korean soldiers look at the south side at the border village of Panmunjom, March 17, 2017. Also pictured: Command Sgt. Maj. Steven L. Payton (left) of the United Nations Command, Combined Forces Command and United States Forces Korea and U.S. Secretary of State's Chief of Staff Margaret Peterlin.
U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson (right) stands with South Korean Deputy Commander of the Combined Force Command Gen. Leem Ho-young (second right) as two North Korean soldiers look at the south side at the border village of Panmunjom, March 17, 2017. Also pictured: Command Sgt. Maj. Steven L. Payton (left) of the United Nations Command, Combined Forces Command and United States Forces Korea and U.S. Secretary of State's Chief of Staff Margaret Peterlin.

In North Korea’s first official comments since new Secretary of State Rex Tillerson’s swing through the region, a Foreign Ministry spokesman seized on the former oil executive’s blunt assessment that Obama’s strategy needs to be replaced and U.S. efforts to get North Korea to denuclearize over the past 20 years have been a failure.

The spokesman then slammed Trump for adopting the same policies, particularly regarding tougher economic sanctions, nevertheless.

“Tillerson admitted the failure of the U.S. efforts to denuclearize the DPRK for 20 years and end of Obama’s policy of ‘strategic patience during his recent tour,” the North’s official Korean Central News Agency said in the dispatch that ran late Monday, quoting the unnamed Foreign Ministry official. “Now Tillerson is repeating what Obama touted ... until he left the White House.”

Busy North Korea

North Korea, officially known as the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea or DPRK, hasn’t exactly been sitting quietly by as Trump gets settled in.

Just before Tillerson arrived in Tokyo, the North launched several ballistic missiles into the Sea of Japan. While he was still in China, it conducted a test of what it called a “revolutionary” new type of engine for its rockets. On Wednesday, it appears to have conducted more missile tests from the eastern port city of Wonsan, though they reportedly failed.

To be fair, Trump doesn’t really have a North Korea policy yet.

Tillerson stressed repeatedly that a comprehensive policy review is underway and that the purpose of his trip to Asia was to hear out the North’s neighbors. How much he was able to do that is questionable. South Korea has only an interim government these days, since its president was forced out of office because of a scandal. China, North Korea’s economic lifeline, has a longstanding dialogue-based agenda that Washington is familiar with but has never shown much interest in.

On the other hand, Tillerson did raise some eyebrows with a few tough-sounding warnings.

While in Seoul, he said “everything was on the table,” including military intervention or even a pre-emptive strike if tougher sanctions or other diplomatic measures fail to achieve Washington’s goals.

Tone matters

Some policy experts in the U.S. say that is really more smoke than fire.

“If you look at Tillerson’s full statements, they were much more of a continuation of current policy than has been portrayed in the press, with an emphasis on expanding sanctions,” said David Wright, co-director and senior scientist of the Global Security Program for the Union of Concerned Scientists. “You can try to squeeze North Korea with more sanctions and maybe slow its program, but it’s hard to see how to stop it from moving ahead without diplomacy.”

Tillerson’s remarks are completely in line with longstanding U.S. policy, including Obama’s, but just stated more threateningly. President Bill Clinton, for example, is known to have seriously considered a pre-emptive strike over the nuclear issue in 1994.

Even so, tone is important in diplomacy, and Tillerson does seem to have reassured some in Seoul and Tokyo that the United States hasn’t forgotten them.

Pyongyang, however, seems to have hit the familiar bravado button.

“The nuclear force of the DPRK is the treasured sword of justice and the most reliable war deterrence to defend the socialist motherland and the life of its people,” the official reportedly said. “If the businessmen-turned-U.S. authorities thought that they would frighten the DPRK, they would soon know that their method would not work.”

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